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National Poll Results - June 20, 2017

The June 2017 round of Brown University’s Taubman Center / RABA Research Polls, the second in a series, finds that President Trump continues to enjoy significant support from his base, while being viewed as doing a poor job by a meaningful number of respondents. Trump’s numbers are similar to what our polling found in April.  However, support for a GOP Congressional candidate on the generic ballot has decreased. In each of our surveyed geographies, with the exception of a Republican stronghold in Iowa, we have seen movement away from a generic GOP House candidate.

The volatility in the generic Congressional question has been significant. Our data shows a 6% shift in Kent County, Rhode Island from April, an 11% shift in our North Carolina and South Carolina counties, and a 5% shift in Chester County, PA. In Arapahoe County, CO, support for the generic Republican held steady at 34%, but the generic Democrat gained 2 percentage points -- bumping up to 53%.

Comparing our April surveys to our June polling, voters between aged 18 – 44 showed the biggest swing away from the generic Republican candidate.

  • A 30% swing in favor of a generic Democratic candidate among this age group in Kent County, RI.
  • A 27% swing in favor of a generic Democratic candidate among this age group in Chester County, PA.
  • A 29% swing in favor of a generic Democratic candidate among this age group in our Iowa counties.
  • A 52% swing in favor of a generic Democratic candidate among this age group in our North Carolina and South Carolina counties.

These surveys also demonstrated respondents’ view of Congress, across all counties, has declined since April. When asked, “Do you have confidence in Congress to act in the best interest of the country?” fewer than 1 in 5 respondents said yes.

In all surveys, we see clear majorities agreeing that the nation “has a moral responsibility to provide healthcare to all Americans.”

  • In Kent County, RI, 67% of respondents agreed.
  • In our North Carolina and South Carolina counties, 62% of respondents agreed.
  • In Chester County, PA, 60% of respondents agreed.
  • In Arapahoe County, CO, 59% of respondents agreed.
  • In our Iowa counties, 55% of respondents agreed.

Support for getting rid of the Affordable Care Act, or ObamaCare, has declined. Voters continue to demonstrate less support for the law when it is referred to as ObamaCare.

The polls, which can be found at www.rabaresearch.com, tested voters on attitudes toward Trump’s alleged ties to Russia, the human impact on climate change, support for school vouchers, attitudes towards the economy, and the White House’s proposed temporary travel ban.

Poll Comparison
Working class suburbs - represented by Kent County, RI (Obama/Trump)
Wealthy first ring suburbs - represented by Arapahoe County, CO (Obama/Clinton)
Rural Midwest - represented by four Iowa counties (Romney/Trump)
Diverse rural south - represented by four counties in North & South Carolina (Obama/Trump)
Upper middle class exurbs - represented by Chester County, PA (Romney/Clinton)

» View Poll Archive » Our Methodology

METHODOLOGY

Our surveys used random digit dialing (RDD) to respondents culled from a list of voters who have shown some history of voting.  Surveys were conducted via Interactive Voice Response (IVR) over the course of several consecutive days.  The raw response data was weighted to historical voter turnout quotas for age and gender to ensure proportional response.  The overall margin of error (MOE) for each poll is approximately +/- 4% at a 95% confidence interval, with a larger MOE for split-sample questions. 

About RABA

RABA Research was founded in 2016 by a bipartisan group of political professionals who have worked for candidates, issues, organizations, and corporations across the globe.
RABA stands for "Red America, Blue America." We believe polling and data is most useful when presented accurately and fairly through an unbiased lens. We’ve worked for Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, private corporations, organized labor, governors, legislators, and organizations that fight for tax reform of all kinds.
How do we conduct our polls? Working with experts specializing in Interactive Voice Response (IVR) technology, we combine landline households with mobile-only respondents in developing opinion research that is fast, accurate, and affordable. We then provide a report that our clients can use to make key decisions, share with stakeholders, or release to the media.
Accurate, unbiased polling is now in reach, so email us today at brad@rabaresearch.com if you are interested in using RABA Research for your next poll.

Founders

Tim Albrecht

Former Communications Director for Republican Iowa Governor Terry Branstad and current owner of Albrecht Public Relations. Tim has worked on local and national campaigns since 2000.

Kim Alfano

Kim Alfano is the President and CEO of Alfano Communications. Since starting her firm in 1990, Kim's become one of the country's leading Republican media strategists.

Brad Anderson

Former Iowa state director for President Barack Obama and Democratic nominee for Iowa Secretary of State in 2014. Anderson has worked on local, national and international campaigns since 1997.

John Del Cecato

Partner at AKPD Message & Media. John has worked at the highest levels of Democratic politics for more than two decades.

John Davis

Former Congressional Chief of Staff with over a decade of experience on Capitol Hill. Davis has worked on local and national campaigns across the country since 1999.

David Kochel

Owner of Redwave Communications, David has more than 30 years of political and public affairs experience serving as a senior consultant to many successful Republican and corporate clients across the country.